Habitat Suitability of <em>Aedes aegypti</em> Under Current and Future Climate Scenarios in USA

Author : Ahmed H. Abdelwahab

The suitability of the environment for the occurrence of mosquitoes largely depends on ecological factors. Rising temperatures and precipitation patterns may increase transmission in temperate regions and higher elevations. Aedes aegypti (Culicidae) is the vector that spreads the arboviral illnesses dengue fever, chikungunya, and zika. Studying probable geographic distribution habitats of Ae. aegypti in the USA under both present and future climatic circumstances is the goal of the current research. The Institute Pierre-Simon Laplace scenario, Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (IPSL-CM6A-LR) with two Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) for each of the general circulation model (GCMs): SSP126 and SSP585 was used. The results revealed that altitude, temperature, seasonality (standard deviation *100; bio4), and annual precipitation (bio12) were the most important environmental variables that affect the distribution of Ae. Aegypti in USA.

Keywords : Modelling, climate change, mosquitoes, prediction, R Package,

Received:4/20/2024 12:00:00 AM; Accepted: 5/30/2024 12:00:00 AM